ITALIAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SITUATION –
A disconnected, fearful, and lethargic country. Where inequality is increasing and social cohesion is diminishing. The Censis he doesn't give discounts and this year In its Annual Report, it photographs a society that has more psychological and representation problems than economic problems. Although ultimately the two factors are closely linked, a new economic cycle of widespread growth, currently unseen, will only restart with a collective, propulsive push from below, something reminiscent of the vital energy of the boom years when Italy rapidly transformed its face.
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DATA FROM THE 2015 CENSIS REPORT –
A disconnected society lives without apparent conflict and in the inertia of the present. Narcoticized by the news, punctuated and inflated by the liturgy of television talk shows, prisoner of a limbo from which one cannot see any impetus, or desire, for the futureA condition in which an authoritative and competent ruling class is not formed; the chains of command, in all sectors, are restricted to the club of the usual loyalists, with the risk of self-referential drift (the political and administrative collapse at the Rome city hall is a paradigm). The parties, and to some extent the unions, thus become a sort of tribe headed by a leader and a set of nomenclature, with consensus controlled locally through a network of caciques. Here too, a case in point: Matteo Renzi effectively exercises a strong leadership at the center, protected by the Tuscan magic circle, but on the periphery, the Democratic Party is in disarray, with power groups that only succeed in playing a defensive role. Without a comprehensive plan and without a balance between the center and the periphery, Renzi's power system risks quickly short-circuiting, perhaps in the next local elections.
CHANGE AND DEVELOPMENT OF ITALIAN SOCIETY –
Where, instead, are the positive elements, of change, of new development, in Italian society? Censis, as always, seeks them in the skeleton of a people who are by nature wise and inventive. And then it translates them into economic data. Unemployment (11,9 percent) is still double what it was eight years ago (6,7 percent), but “older” workers, between 55 and 64 years old, went from 2,5 million to 3,5 million. Young people naturally go to work abroad, create new startups, from the promising sharing economy up to the bed & breakfast fever, they interpret self-employment en masse in a key multitasking (more activities, more income, more skills): it is no coincidence that our employment in this sector is worth double that of Germany. Le women they advance and act as a barrier to the tsunami of the Great Crisis: 12 percent of families live thanks to women's work, their only income. Our immigrants are not those from the Parisian suburbs, while foreign business owners in Italy, between 2008 and 2014, grew by 31,5 percentIntegration, once again bottom-up and natural, is working. And foreigners are a key factor in Rome's boom in new businesses between 2009 and 2015 in restaurants and minimarkets (up 26,4 percent) and in fruit and vegetable shops (up 16,4 percent).
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As for economic activities and consumption, Exporting companies have no problems. In fact, they grow.: plus 6,2 percent in the machinery sector alone. We can see signs of recovery in the real estate sector, with mortgages increasing by 94,3 percent from January to October (although a third are surrogates) and with sales on the rise, in the second quarter of 2015, by 6,6 percent. Consumption of durable goods is improvingIf current intentions to purchase new cars were to be confirmed in 2016, car sales would return to 2008 levels. Three million families are thinking of replacing their appliances and furniture in the next 12 months, thanks also to tax deductions.In consumption, the ancient Italian peasant wisdom is now expressed in one key word: sobriety, meaning no waste. And it is this same genetic code that allows us to be strong, very strong, in saving. Household financial wealth has surpassed the €4 trillion mark, but what is astonishing is the progression during the most difficult years of the Great Recession. Between 2011 and 2015, Italians' bank deposits increased by 401 billion euros, and in the last year 10,6 million families declared they had saved. Chapeau, to thrifty Italy: it's just a shame that not even a part of this money ends up financing new economic activities and new jobs.
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