RETURN OF COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS –
I may be wrong, but the energy revolution announced by Donald Trump, rather than the prelude to a return to nuclear power plants carbon and the dismantling of Barack Obama's entire environmental policy (much lower than the expectations and promises Barack had made), it's just a bluffYet another tweet to be used in an election campaign that is never over for the American president. And, fortunately for us, those of us who consider climate change a serious problem for humanity, and not just for the interests of a few American industrialists, Trump's idea of scrapping the Paris Agreement (which also involves China) will end up in a soap bubble. Hot air.
My optimism, which doesn't mean the certainty of a cleaner world but certainly takes note of a world more aware of the pollution problem, arises from very concrete things.
ALSO READ: Climate, Obama's new defeat, America fails to cut emissions
CLEAN POWER PLAN OBAMA –
First: il Clean Power Plan American, which foresees the reduction of CO2 emissions by 32 percent by 2020, has been well protected by ObamaTrump can't repeal it with a simple decree; he must initiate a political and administrative review process that, as in the case of the health care reform Trump wanted to repeal, will hit a wall in Congress, even with some Republicans. Instead, it will be a massive poker game, with Trump playing the anti-environmentalist, just to gain support, and with the majority of Americans refusing to follow him down this path. And the aggressive green associations, which are no slouch in terms of lobbying power in America, will even go to court to stop a president who hasn't yet grasped the world and century in which the world's leading power lives and governs. This game won't end before 2020, when new presidential elections will be held in the United States, and Trump might even return home to New York to engage in real estate speculation. If he manages to complete his term...
AMERICA'S RETURN TO COAL –
Second: in first, Against the paradigm shift in energy policies, there are precisely the large American industrial groups, not by chance the oil giant Exxon has already rushed to warn the White House not to dismantle the Paris climate agreement, defining it as "very useful and effective"Someone should explain to Trump that the American energy industry has already made its conversion, focusing heavily on renewable energy (and onelectric in the auto industry), on gas-fired and renewable power plants, and with a gradual but definitive phase-out of coal, now a thing of the past. Coal production in America continues to plummet, year after year, reaching its lowest level in the last half century, and in the last five years, approximately 60 workers have left a sector that is now secondary and unprofitable for the industries themselves. Coal, as an energy source, partly due to shale oil and shale gas, has fallen from 50 to 30 percent, and will continue to decline. Who wants to defend Trump? Ghosts? Only one company, for example, Duke Energy, which has just announced $11 billion in investments in gas-fired and renewable power plants, can accept Trump's bluff only in one way: with a raspberry, the kind the president deserves with his anti-environmentalist obsession.
TO LEARN MORE: America, shale oil pollutes due to methane. Now the focus is on renewables.
TRUMP ENERGY POLICY –
Finally, and we come to the third reason for my optimism, I would not underestimate the role of China in this game, which signed the Paris agreement, with a nice handshake and a signature from the two presidents, American and Chinese.If America were to take a step back, China, which risks imploding due to pollution and is therefore forced to get serious about renewables, would become the world's leading country in global CO2 reduction, a global slap in the face for the United States. Something no one in America, Republicans or Democrats alike, can even imagine. So much for Trump's electoral gimmicks, which risk only suggesting his unreliability and weakness after his triumphant arrival in the White House.
TO KNOW MORE: The China-US climate agreement will soon be revealed as a bluff.
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